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Starbucks Q3 2025 · Earnings

Starbucks' (SBUX) Q3 2025 results reflect a company in the midst of a determined operational turnaround, investing heavily in foundational changes aimed at revitalizing its brand and driving long-term growth. The quarter saw consolidated net revenues rise 4% year-over-year to $9.5 billion, though this top-line growth was offset by declines in profitability and store traffic. Global comparable store sales fell 2%, driven by a 2% decline in transactions, slightly cushioned by a 1% increase in average ticket size.

Profitability was notably impacted by higher costs and strategic investments. The company reported a GAAP operating margin of 9.9%, down 680 basis points, and non-GAAP margin of 10.1%, down 660 basis points from the prior year. GAAP EPS fell 47% to $0.49, while non-GAAP EPS declined 46% to $0.50. These results were burdened by a sharp increase in store operating expenses to $4.34 billion—now 45.9% of revenues, up from 42.0%—and a higher effective tax rate of 31.8%, largely due to discrete international tax impacts.

Regionally, North America posted $6.93 billion in revenues (up 2%), but comparable sales dropped 2%, with U.S. transactions down 4%. Margins contracted sharply, with operating income down 36% and margins sliding to 13.3% from 21.0%, driven by labor investments, inflation, and the rollout of strategic initiatives like Leadership Experience 2025. In contrast, International segment revenues rose 9% to $2.01 billion, supported by 2% comparable sales growth in China, though global international comps were flat. However, operating income declined 5%, as promotional activity pressured margins, which narrowed by 200 basis points to 13.6%.

The Channel Development business continued to show top-line strength with $483.8 million in revenue (up 10%), but saw margins compress to 45.1%, due to a mix shift and lower income from the North American Coffee Partnership.

Despite near-term pressures, Starbucks continued its global expansion, adding 308 net new stores, bringing the total to 41,097—with 53% company-operated. Notably, U.S. and China now make up 61% of the global portfolio, with 17,230 and 7,828 stores, respectively.

Under the “Back to Starbucks” strategy, the company is doubling down on operational excellence and customer engagement. Key initiatives include the rollout of the Green Apron Service Model, aimed at enhancing in-store experience and operational consistency; SmartQ order sequencing technology; a store renovation plan targeting 1,000 locations by 2026; and a revamped rewards program and mobile app, both scheduled for 2026. Meanwhile, menu innovation—featuring protein cold foam and new global flavor platforms—is designed to attract new customers without sacrificing speed or simplicity.

Looking ahead, Starbucks offered no formal financial guidance, citing macro uncertainty and continued transformation costs. Management signaled caution for Q4 U.S. trends, but expressed confidence that foundational changes will yield margin and sales improvement over time. Coffee costs are expected to peak in the first half of fiscal 2026, with relief expected thereafter. While near-term margins remain under pressure, the company reaffirmed its ambition to return to pre-COVID margin levels17%+ corporate-wide and 20%+ in the Americas—as efficiencies scale and sales leverage returns.

Risks remain, including macroeconomic volatility, competitive threats, and execution challenges around its transformation strategy. However, Starbucks sees significant upside in operational efficiency, international growth (particularly China), product and digital innovation, and a leaner cost structure. An Investor Day in Q2 fiscal 2026 will outline the company’s longer-term roadmap.

In sum, Q3 2025 was a pivotal quarter for Starbucks—one of deliberate reinvestment and strategic reset. While financial headwinds were evident, early signs of traction in partner engagement, store experience, and international momentum suggest the groundwork is being laid for a stronger, more resilient Starbucks in the years ahead.

July 29, 2025
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